Carlos Pena Monferrer, Samuel Freitas Antao, et al.
Physics of Fluids
In domains such as homeland security, cybersecurity, and competitive marketing, it is frequently the case that analysts need to forecast actions by other intelligent agents that impact the problem of interest. Standard structured expert judgment elicitation techniques may fall short in this type of problem as they do not explicitly take into account intentionality. We present a decomposition technique based on adversarial risk analysis followed by a behavioural recomposition using discrete choice models that facilitate such elicitation process and illustrate its reasonable performance through behavioural experiments.
Carlos Pena Monferrer, Samuel Freitas Antao, et al.
Physics of Fluids
Lloyd Treinish, Mukul Tewari, et al.
AGU 2024
Soumya Ghosh, William T. Stephenson, et al.
NeurIPS 2020
Tim Rumbell, Catherine Wanjiru, et al.
NeurIPS 2023