ChieF: A Change Pattern based Interpretable Failure Analyzer

Abstract

Discovering the underlying dynamics leading up to an industrial asset failure is an important problem to be solved for successful development of Predictive Maintenance techniques. Existing work has largely focused on building complex ML/AI models for developing Predictive Maintenance solution patterns, but has largely avoided developing methods to explain the underlying failure dynamics. In this paper, we use an old but significantly improved change-pattern based technique to analyze IoT sensor data and failure information to generate useful and interpretable failure-centric insight. We discuss a solution pattern that we call ChieF, which when applied on multi-variate time series datasets, discover the leading failure indicators, generate associative patterns among multiple features, and output temporal dynamics of changes. Experimental analysis of ChieF on four datasets uncovers insights that may be valuable for predictive maintenance.