Confidence intervals for parameters lying in a random polygon

Abstract

This paper presents algorithms for computing confidence intervals and regions for elements of a parameter vector when the signs of linear combinations of unknown parameters are observed, but the coefficients contain experimental error. These methods were proposed in the geochemical literature by Kolassa (1992) as a method specific to petrology. Experimental data are used to give linear constraints, involving quantities measured with error, on unknown free energies and entropies of a chemical reaction. Confidence intervals are given for these parameters, and these are compared with more naïve approaches.